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Intensionalism

11 Sep 2006 03:40 pm

In a typically odd piece of analysis, Stanley Kurtz tries to knock down the Mueller Thesis by pointing to a bunch of evidence that al-Qaeda's leadership would like to mount many additional attacks against the American homeland. This is presumably the case, but so what? Assessments of threats need to be capability-based. You see this all the time from the right, however, which has become increasingly invested, both politically and emotionally, and maintaining a constant state of panic and hysteria.

Portraits of the looming menace of "Islamofascism" are routinely drawn with reference to to the alleged movement's alleged goals, with these goals, in turn, defined quite vaguely. It's good to have some sense of that stuff, of course, but it's much more crucial to know which things might realistically occur. The latter, typically, is much less fear-inducing than the former.

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Comments (17)

Matt, they're just learning the lessons of the Vietnam era. Back then, they devoted precious time and effort to convincing the public that a huge missile gap existed. This time, they've decided to skip the whole "evidence" thing entirely. Too cumbersome.

Assessments of threats need to be capability-based.

But the terrorists have low capability precisely because the right is keeping us vigilant (your "constant state of panic and hysteria"). The price of freedom is eternal vigilance, etc., etc., etc.

>The price of freedom is eternal vigilance

but not hysterics. and of course, we should always be vigilant against those who would take away that freedom "for our own protection" - a sentiment conservatives used to be quite happy with.

on a related note, a majority polled think terrorists will be able to launch attacks against us, no matter what the govt does.

But of course, that attitude was the attitude of the USG prior to 9/11; witness Richard Clarke's inability to get traction on the Delenda plan under Clinton, despite the fact Cliton clearly took terrorism prevention seriously.

That said, there's clearly something to your point. After the various "no WMD" reports came out, Bush and Cheney continued to justify the invasion on the grounds that Hussein "intended" to re-constitute his chem/bio/nuke program, despite completely lacking the capacity to do so.

So how do we balance between the two? Is it a question of assessing specific goals versus specific capabilities?

You say tom-A-to...

Note that I don't think my point rebuts Mueller's (it is perfectly reasonable to argue that we overstate the threat). Only Yglesias's.

al-Qaeda would like to attack us again?

Is this supposed to be newsworthy? Was someone under the impression that they had rededicated themselves to saving the spotted owl?

As for Al's point, every time we see someone escorted off a plane for praying, or for wearing a t-shirt with Arabic lettering, or for being overly swarthy, we can surely thank the eternal vigilance of the Right which safeguards our freedoms.

The cost of vigilance need not be paid in liberty. The cost of vigilance is, not surprisingly, vigilance. As in, regularly devoting time to.

IOW, Kerry's assessment that terrorism is primarily a police matter is a completely adequate response.

We needn't transform ourselves into a neurotic culture like Sparta or the Soviet Union to address the matter. Unfortunately, we have thugs at the helm whose only bona fides for the task at hand is the ability to scowl.

It seems pretty clear that even Al is losing his appetite for the trolling game, when he finishes his posts with "etc."

Come on, Al--can't you just ask Ken Mehlman for a raise? I mean, we know you're paid to post, but are they going to keep paying you when you are phoning 'em in like that?

The wheels are coming off the right-wing noise machine, and you're watching it right here, as Al falls apart. Not with a bang, but etcetera.

time for Ken to hire a new Al, I guess.

I was hoping that this post would be a philosophy of language point about how "X said that Y did Z" is not always accurate even if X said was "W did Z" and Y and W are the same (or the speaker thinks they are). About intensionality rather than intentionality. I should've remembered about the spelling thing.

About intensionality rather than intentionality.

I actually googled "intensionalism" to find out if it was some obscure philosophical term or just a typo. And it is some obscure philosophical term, apparently. Are you saying that Matthew's not using it in that way here, Matt? That this really is just a typo?

Right there with you, Dr. Weiner.

And I'd like to date Scarlett Johanson, and Matt wants a pony.

We went into Iraq so they could kill us there, instead of killing us here. Basically, we've saved them the high cost of air travel.

Al, that's what I'm saying.

My goal is to have the Republican Party outlawed. Fear me, Republicans!

Damned confusing philosophers.


Comments closed September 25, 2006.

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