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Majority Minority?

17 May 2007 11:45 am

The news that DC is shifting from blac k majority to black plurality (via Sommer Mathis) is kind of interesting, but further down they get onto a more intriguing issue, the oft-heard claim that the USA will be "majority-minority" (i.e., plurality white rather than mostly white) by 2040:

But Lang questions whether the term "minority" will be defined the same way by then. Nearly 2 percent of the population is identified as multiracial, he noted. And that percentage is likely to rise with intermarriage among races and ethnic groups. The notion of what is "white" is also likely to shift as it has since the 1900s, when Southern and Eastern Europeans were not counted as white.

"I don't think that officially there will ever be a moment where we're at majority-minority status, because long before you get to that point, the meaning of the term majority will be completely redefined," he said.

Interestingly, I knew the history of shifting definitions of whiteness but managed to never consider the possibility that it might further shift in the future. But, of course, when you think about it that makes a lot of sense.

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Comments (18)

I'm not one to think that we'll ever intermarry (interprocreate?) enough so that there are no races, and I also don't think that increasing numbers of interracial people will eliminate racial conflict (let's all just make babies until there are no mare races, man!)

That said, working in an urban public school, I' amazed at the number of kids I see who I have absolutely no idea what their ethnic makeup is. And I can't help but think that that's a good thing.

South and Eastern Europeans didn't count as white in 1900?

I did not know that.

All the same, won't Latinos who are the biggest demographic force right now, count as white?

Yes, this is exactly correct. In fact, just this morning I was pointing out to someone that by most objective social measures of the early 20th Century, Southern Italians were probably considered at least as "non-white"---and probably more so---than Mexicans/Latinos.

Remember that the primary focus of the KKK during that period was actually Catholic and perhaps Jewish European immigrants, and (I think) the largest mass-lynching in American history was that of a big bunch of Italians by the KKK in Louisiana.

Nick..."won't Latinos who are the biggest demographic force right now, count as white?" That question...it sound like you are one of Freedie's students who have no idea of their ethnic heritage. So Freddie, do you still think it is still a good idea that your students are clueless?

I wonder if anyone else has ever read Piers Anthony's little-known book "Race Against Time" which was about a horrible, horrible future where interbreeding has reduced humanity to just one race of tan people. It's kinda scary stuff from a guy better known for writing cheesy sci-fi pulp.

Matt, are you "white" or "hispanic"?

Who knows - maybe by 2040 nobody will care

Southern and eastern Europeans were always *legally* counted as white, however much discrimination they faced and however "racially" inferior they were regarded by "Ahglo-Saxons."

Of course many Hispanics are likewise counted as white today, because the census has two separate questions: (1) What is your "race", i.e, whites/blacks/Asians and Pacific Islanders/multiracial/"others" and (2) Are you Hispanic or not? Hispanics can be of any race. Virtually all self-classified "others" are Hispanics, but not all Hispanics are "others"; many classify themselves as white.

Here's "whiteness studies"

The term whiteness denotes not necessarily race but a power structure .... (For example, Japanese businessmen were given “honorary white” status by South Africa’s apartheid regime.)

I see three dimensions to whiteness in America today: (1) as a secular blend of race, ethnicity and culture; (2) as a civic religion based on Judeo-Christianity/Bible; and (3) as a socioeconomic status. How White you are is measured in this 3-dimensional model. All other identities are based on difference from whiteness

And my favorite bit:

This is the liberal path to becoming White, just as Christianizing was Bobby Jindal’s Biblical path to Whiteness. One may think of them as left-wing and right-wing whiteness, respectively.

Is Matthew Yglesias white? Hispanic last name, Jewish religion. But rich. I think he can be granted "left-wing whiteness". I'll print up the diploma...

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Comments closed May 31, 2007.

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