« Non-Surprise of the Day | Main | Seriously »

Measuring the Benchmarks

14 Jun 2007 09:50 am

Amidst all the sturm und drang of the Iraq debate, one thing both parties were able to agree on was the need to create a series of "benchmarks" for the Iraqi government to see if we're making progress toward realistic goals. The National Security Network, an underrated newish outfit, is doing us the favor of trying to measure the benchmarks in a series of reports. The first one looked at Iraqi security forces:

Incredibly, it has been 707 days since President Bush first declared that, “As Iraqis Stand Up, We Will Stand Down.” Now, almost two years later, the Administration is still making the training of Iraqi security forces a key component of its escalation plan. Unfortunately, Iraqi security forces are still incapable of providing security. In fact, because of their poor performance and lack of manpower, the President’s Baghdad Security Plan is already far behind schedule. Meanwhile, these forces cannot be trusted to enforce the law fairly. Numerous times, trained Iraqis have turned against American forces or taken part in sectarian violence. Put simply, on this front the Administration is failing to meet its benchmarks for success and there is little sign that progress is likely.

The second one, released today, concerns Debaathification:

In May of 2003, the Bush Administration enacted ill-conceived de-Baathification laws, which alienated the Sunni population, fomented sectarian divisions and established a recruitment pool for insurgents. Repealing the harsh de-Baathification laws is absolutely critical to bringing Sunnis back into the political fold in Iraq and achieving reconciliation. It has been more than a year since President Bush declared progress on this front and yet there is still no agreement. The latest attempt to amend the law was thwarted this spring by Ahmed Chalabi, a former ally of neo-conservatives, who and used his position as head of the de-Baathification Commission to build opposition and block the legislation. With Iraq’s government still in gridlock, progress in the near future appears unlikely.

I'll be eagerly awaiting the remaining reports.

Share This

Comments (4)

This was weird:

Michael E. O'Hanlon, a senior fellow at the Brookings Institution, emphasized the continued high overall level of violence in Iraq, saying he had expected it to drop 10 percent as a result of the increase in U.S. troops. "It bodes very badly for the political sustainability of this mission in Iraq," he said.

People's quotes do get truncated and presented without context in news reports, but this seems like a pretty strange concept to have. He expected it to drop 10 percent? Does he have some kind econometric model where you plug in US troops levels, oil prices, barometric pressure and new home starts, and it spits out the percentage reduction in Iraqi civilian casualties?

Does he have some kind econometric model where you plug in US troops levels, oil prices, barometric pressure and new home starts, and it spits out the percentage reduction in Iraqi civilian casualties?

Yes--plug all of those things in, and the percentage number comes right out of his ass . . .

I think the two - troop training shortfalls and deBaathification - are related. You can train soldiers quickly, we train ours from pimply kid to soldier in a few months, but the machine that trained Iraqis was Baathist. Their career non-coms and officers were almost all party members. We can train Iraqis to shoot well, but we can't make them soldiers sworn to defend the Constitution of the Iraqi nation.

Matt,
Didn't you leave out the administration's probable first priority, an oil agreement that allows for privatization of the Iraqi fields?


Comments closed June 28, 2007.

Copyright © 2008 by The Atlantic Monthly Group. All rights reserved.