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The Big Con

14 Aug 2007 02:58 pm

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I sort of feel like saying you probably shouldn't buy Jonathan Chait's book, The Big Con: The True Story of How Washington Got Hoodwinked and Hikacked by Crackpot Economics because the parts of the book that deal with the media are positively infuriating. Becoming enraged about newspaper and magazine articles than ran years ago is probably an unhealthy impulse. But it's vitally important, and Chait brilliant dissects the moronic manner in which economic issues get covered and the horrible damage it does. Here's a lengthy example:

The unveiling of the Bush tax cut stood out for its devious ingenuity. The Bush campaign had been advertising its approach to tax cuts as a dramatic break from the old GOP practice of giving the rich the biggest breaks. To quote Time once again:
Though Bush won't unveil his plan until the fall, team member Martin Anderson, who helped craft Ronald Reagan's tax cuts in 1981, told TIME last week that Bush's plan "is going to be significantly different from what the Republicans are doing now." Of course, the Texas Governor wants to cut taxes for the middle and upper classes, but sources tell TIME his plan will feature a series of proposals aimed at lowering the tax burden on families earning between $12,500 and $30,000 a year. . . . A tax plan that helps low-income Americans goes deep into Democratic territory and sounds like the perfect policy component to fit Bush's centrist rhetoric
Laudatory coverage like this kept up for months on end, through the summer of 1999 and into the fall. [...] In point of fact, Bush's tax plan was no less regressive than previous Republican plans -- it gave an even higher percentage of its benefits to the top 1 percent than the Republican plan veroed by Clinton in 1999, and it did virtually nothing for families earning under $20,000 a year. So, in December, they hit on the solution of preempting the release of the plan by showing it a day early to a handful of major newspaper reporters. There was one catch: those reporters could not share its details with any outside analysts -- such as, say, economists who could run numbers disproving its core claims. Astonishingly, reputable newspapers agreed to this arrangement.

The result was a triumph of propaganda. The Washington Post breathlessly reported that Bush's plan would "focus its deepest reductions on the working poor and middle class" and would thus "mark a clear departure from more traditional conservative GOP tax policy." The Wall Street Journal noted that Bush was "seeking to steer more benefits to working-poor taxpayers."

The book details the ways in which the cranks first took over the Republican Party and then the entire country, and notes correctly that mere electoral defeat won't resolve the problem. Republicans have, after all, faced electoral setbacks in 1982, 1986, 1992, and 1998 only to come back crazier than ever after wins in 1984, 1994, and 2000. The book can be ordered here, it's coming out in September and I'll probably encourage you to buy it again between now and then.

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Comments (29)

Families earning under $20,000 pay nothing in federal income tax, so it's hard to give them a tax cut. Plus, the 2001 bill *did* help them by increasing the earned income tax credit.

In general, if you cut tax rates for the rich by 1 percent and taxes for the poor by 2 percent, it will still be the case that the rich will get the majority of the total cut, but I don't think it's fair to call such a cut "regressive."

I hate Bush too, but I wonder if it's Chait who's being a little bit cranky.

Only in the world of blogs can four paragraphs be considered "lengthy".

"and notes correctly that mere electoral defeat won't resolve the problem. Republicans have, after all, faced electoral setbacks in 1982, 1986, 1992, and 1998 only to come back crazier than ever after wins in 1984, 1994, and 2000."

Resolving the problem involves electing a proud progressive who'll move the mainstream of economic rhetoric radically to the left, much as Ronald Reagan was able to move mainstream rhetoric radically to the right in 1980.

Define the center via electoral victories where you stand for something outside the current mainstream, and you change the game.

I think the niftiest feature of the Bush tax cuts was how it was sold as the proper response to both a large projected surplus (in 1999) and a recession (in 2001).

It's almost like the facts were being fixed around a predetermined policy! Imagine that!

The problem with moving "the mainstream of economic rhetoric radically to the left, much as Ronald Reagan was able to move mainstream rhetoric radically to the right in 1980" is that it so much tougher a sell.

So-called Reagonomics was clever, just dishonest. He just played to the ignorance of the public promising them everything: Big tax cuts and and big spending.

It's much harder to sell reality even under the best of circumstances and the left is so awful when it comes to 'message' that there is not much room for hope.

I have had a thought for years. The problem with every flat tax from the right is that they always exempt non-wage income. But I wonder what a flat tax could do if it included all forms of income including all capital gains and removed all deductions (including mortgage interest) keeping only exemptions targeted to protect the working poor. Could middle class families pay less while still raising sufficient revenue to actually pay the bills?

this is the perfect example of how both sides can find validation for their arguments by using absurd definitions like "percentage of its benefits".

what are the "percentage of benefits" from having free-trade that go to the rich? does that make free-trade necessarily a bad thing?

Interesting that Matthew decides to quote a portion of the book that is, essentially, a lie. The share of federal taxes paid by the lowest two quintiles decreased as a result of the 2001 tax cut. Which means that the tax cut most certainly was progressive.

This is why your market oriented solution to fixing journalism won't work, and Ezra's expertise based reporting is more likely too.

The media outlets all have an incentive to play along with this kind of preemptive charade, precisely because of the market, getting "scoops" sells media and adds to the organization's prestige, even if they have no clue what it is they're reporting.

They'd be harded to bamboozle if they had a clue what they were talking about.

Looks pretty good, but I don't like that cover. What's with all the fonts? Needs a better graphic designer.

A political party paid back its supporters when it got into power?

*yawn*

What is interesting is "journalists" who lazily take dictation on their day jobs...then years late, write a book about how they knew it was all a bunch of lies all along.

Interesting that Al is incapable of not lying, because interestingly Al is a shameless liar.

Speaking of the cover, I already have a book called "The Big Con" featuring the title in white print in a red circle.

> In general, if you cut tax rates for the rich by
> 1 percent and taxes for the poor by 2 percent, it
> will still be the case that the rich will get the
> majority of the total cut, but I don't think it's
> fair to call such a cut "regressive."

Then you use the revenue shortfall from the 1% cut for the rich as an excuse to terminate a whole host of government functions that serve the entire nation but which are critical to the poor and middle-class. At that point it becomes quite
regressive.

Although trying to calculate regressivity based on percentages when you are below $25,000/family is problematic to begin with.

Cranky

OMG! Al is a LIAR!!!

In other news, I Hate Hillary Clinton. The Sky is blue, and Jesus still hasn't given me a new car!

Alphie, it would be nice if the Democratic Party learned that lesson. Seriously, while the rest of these people seem content to vote for them regardless of whether they are truly better than the Republicans or not, enough of us won't that it's likely to cost them worse than pissing off their corporate backers.

I guess they'd rather serve in the minority than rule as a majority.

Looks pretty good, but I don't like that cover. What's with all the fonts? Needs a better graphic designer.

I concur. Very weak sauce.

The share of federal taxes paid by the lowest two quintiles decreased as a result of the 2001 tax cut.

This is the kind of made-up benchmark that, in the long view, leads people to distrust Republicans.

"Interesting that Matthew decides to quote a portion of the book that is, essentially, a lie. The share of federal taxes paid by the lowest two quintiles decreased as a result of the 2001 tax cut. Which means that the tax cut most certainly was progressive."-Posted by Al

It means no such thing. Increased income disparity can cause the exact same effect. From 2000-2003 the lower earning half of the population saw a decline of ~3% in real income while the upper half of the population saw a decline of less than 1%. The lower income quintiles paid a lower percentage of tax because they had an even lower percentage of the income, not because tax rates were made more progressive.

Re Ed's comment: "In general, if you cut tax rates for the rich by 1 percent and taxes for the poor by 2 percent, it will still be the case that the rich will get the majority of the total cut, but I don't think it's fair to call such a cut "regressive."

-----------
It is if you pay for the tax cut by stealing roughly $3 TRILLION out of the Social Security/Medicare Accounts of blue collar workers, then how is that NOT "regressive"???

Al Gore TOLD you that's what Bush was doing in 2000 -- Bush dismissed Al's statements as "fuzzy math" -- and the country was fucking stupid enough to vote for Bush.

Well, Bush's latest budget is out, it has a table WAAAYY in back giving the projected federal debt for 2008, and the figures ain't "fuzzy".

What in the HELL is the matter with Americans? Bush has badly FUCKED EVERYONE who makes less than $200,000 --including Republicans -- and they're too damm stupid to even realize it.

The vast majority of Republicans have savings in (a) capitals gains on their house and (b) 401K/IRA savings accounts. Those savings are in "before tax " dollars and will HAVE to be heavily taxed by future administrations to pay off Bush's IOUS when the massive baby boomer generation enters retirement.

There's no other source of money. The taxes of young people will be confiscated just to make interest payments on the huge Republican debt and to pay for national defense. Bush has ran massive debts even when the baby boomers were working -- how is a future government going to run a $300 BILLION SURPLUS year after year after year??

HOW in the hell can REPUBLICANS fail to realize that our federal debt is approaching $10 TRILLION and roughly $8 TRILLION of that debt was personally approved by the signatures of REPUBLICAN Presidents Ronald Reagan, George H Bush and George W Bush.

See http://www.cedarcomm.com/~stevelm1/usdebt.htm

Consider a simple numerical example:
Two people in economy, "rich" and "poor."
"Rich" makes $500, "poor" makes $100 (before tax).
Old tax rate: 30% for rich, 20% for poor.
New tax rate: 25% for rich, 15% for poor.

Is this tax cut progressive? Depends on the benchmark.

- Rich person claims 83% of the benefits of the tax cut (aha!! regressive!!)
- Share of taxes paid by "poor" guy goes down from 11.7% to 10.7% (progressive!!)
- Same percentage points cut for both groups (neither regressive or progressive!!)
- Bigger tax cut for poor, as percentage of old tax rate (progressive again!!)
- Rich sees greater percentage rise in after-tax income (regressive again!!)

Al's benchmark "the share of federal taxes paid by the lowest two quintiles" is no more or less made up and bogus than Chait's benchmark, "percentage of its benefits to the top 1 percent." There is no standard definition of what constitutes a "progressive" change, and you can use these kind of benchmarks to make misleading arguments all you want, (always arguing loudly as possible, of course).

Looks pretty good, but I don't like that cover. What's with all the fonts? Needs a better graphic designer.

Speaking as a graphic designer, I can see what they were after with all the fonts. The subtitle is long, rambling and chock-full of adjectives, so they are doing mirroring graphically what the subtitle does with words. Secondly, the basic imagery (three-card monte) suggests something kind of retro and low-rent. The type treatment reinforces this.

You may not like it, but it isn't just the novice's too-many-fonts mistake.

and the country was fucking stupid enough to vote for Bush.

Actually they weren't, but 5 out of 9 SCOTUS justices fixed that problem for the chimp anyway.

Tomorrow, August 15, marks the 36th anniversary of the day the dollar died. On August 15, 1971 Richard M. Nixon decoupled the dollar from any redemptions that might be made with respect to silver. At some time before that it was possible to exchange any US bill that a person held for an equivalent amount of gold (or silver.) Those were the days of 'hard money', bills that could be exchanged for another commodity. (Let me interject here that I am NOT an advocate of "hard money", but I am an advocate for the issuance of "smart money".)

In the 'afterglow' of that event, the price of oil and some other internationally-traded commodities went sky-high. Oil went from ~$3/barrel to over $41/barrel, a 13-fold increase. Inflation went through the roof, and before long there were prime interest rates at levels usually reserved for credit cards of the most suspect users of credit.

Now we see that the situation has come full circle. Before, the creation of money was restricted; now, anybody and his brother can create money in the form of fungible credit. It has permeated the credit market for houses, but it has infected the entire monetary system.

Money, or any other form of exchange, gets it value from scarcity. If anyone can create the medium of eschange, then it will become worthless in short order, with the phony creators gaining the most advantage at the outset of the scheme. This ain't rocket science here, folks.

Not to harp on the Constitutional platform, but there is an entity who is entrusted with the creation of the money of the United States, and that entity is the Congress of the United States, the people's house. Says so in the Constitution, in Article 1, Section 8, paragraph 5: "Congress shall have power to...coin money, regulate the value thereof, and of foreign coin..."

The reason that's in the Constitution is because we all use money to exchange value, and the money is a store of that value. Not too difficult of a proposition, or so I think.

So as this latest whangdoodle goes through its usual gyrations, just remember that the power to create money in vested in you, the public. Then act accordingly.

The subtitle of "The Big Con" is wrong.

Washington is NOT "Hoodwinked" by the Big Con -- Washington cuts up the score in exchange for providing the insideman and shills.

The marks are the poor stupid taxpayers who are constantly put on the send.

Social Security is a variation on the old "pidgeon drop" with Treasury Bonds being used as the boodle and official statements of
"personal accounts" being used to lay the flue.

Much of the discourse on Sunday morning talk shows, newspaper OpEds,etc
is just cross-fire --with the occasional office. Of course, Members of Congress ain't all that bright so they sometimes crack out of turn but you have to fit the mitt.

The Capitol is a big store, with big money donors getting roped in with the payoff con. The rag is pretty much left to Wall Street.

The periodic transfer of power from the Republicans to the Democrats and back
again is just a way of cooling off the marks.


Re: The problem with every flat tax from the right is that they always exempt non-wage income.

This is a recent phenpmenon. Originally (~80s) flat tax proposals explcitly included all income with no exemptions whatsoever. That was a political non-starter, so over time the Flat Taxers began exempting this and that, and in the Bush era they have been seduced by the Neoconomists, who do indeed believe that only labor income should be taxed.

If a 1% tax cut for the richest 1% with a 2% tax cut for everyone else means less progressivity, does that mean that converse is also true, that a 15% tax rise for the richest 1% with a 30% tax rise for everyone else means more progressivity? That seems absolutely non-sensical since the definition of progressivity in the tax code is the extent of higher rates for higher income tax payers.

All the complaints I see that funding for the poor suffered and there was increased stealing from social security and so on are a seperate issue from the tax code. Federal spending absolutely ballooned under President Bush. It was under his watched that US military spending went up to about half of global military spending. In 2000, federal spending was 1789.2 trillion (see http://www.usgovernmentspending.com/year2007_0.html). In 2007, federal spending will probably be 2784.3 trillion. There was money to have progressive spending policies. Just in your view, it didn't happen. Don't blame that on George Bush's progressive tax cuts, blame it on his spending priorities. If he could balloon the federal budget that much and not satisfy your progressive spending priorities, why do you think he would have with another few hundred billion or so per year?

this is old news. this was written by chait in an article on 12/1/99. from daily howler..here'z the quote (http://www.dailyhowler.com/h010500_1.shtml)

CHAIT (paragraph 1): When George W. Bush's campaign leaked his economic plan to the press last week, the lucky recipients were forced to accept a special condition: any reporter who wanted to see it had to agree not to share the details with other campaigns or, more importantly, outside analysts. "This is between you, me, and your typewriter," a Bush aide told one reporter.

The Democratic Party made a huge error in the 80s when they allowed Republicans to define taxation (in the public mind) as a transfer of resources between individuals, which it isn't, rather than what, in a broadly middle class society (as ours still was in the 80s), it genuinely is -- a transfer of resources between generations.

In their youth, the Silent and earliest cohorts of the Baby Boom generations enjoyed the benefits of both very low personal taxation and very high public investment -- in education, research, economic, social and cultural institutions, material infrastucture, etc., etc, etc, -- as the result of a extremely progressive tax structure (the burden of which was borne by their more established elders). Yet, in their highest earning years, after personally reaping the benefit of that massive public investment in their futures, they, the wealthiest generations in human history, refused, and continue to refuse, to step up to the plate and pay their debt forward to the next generation.

Worse yet, while refusing to contribute to building and sustaining the public infrastructure that nurtured their own success and is needed to secure their children and grandchildren's future, they are both passing on to the next generation an unprecedented level of public debt -- and failing to save for their own less productive, much more socially burdensome, old age.

Petey said:

Resolving the problem involves electing a proud progressive who'll move the mainstream of economic rhetoric radically to the left, much as Ronald Reagan was able to move mainstream rhetoric radically to the right in 1980.

I don't think I've ever agreed with Petey so completely.

Don then countered that the leftist economic argument is a much tougher sell. I think he's completely wrong. The only reason it's a tougher sell is that left wing politicians and commentators have an annoying tendency to be intellectually honest, and that makes the kind of argument shifting Petey calls for harder to achieve.

The left, at this point, has a strange relationship with taxes and government spending. Ronald Reagan liked to speak of "tax and spend" Democrats. Then he proceeded to govern as Mr. Borrow and Spend. Clinton came along, and with the cooperation of a Republican Congress, actually addressed the problem of the deficit and kinda-sorta balanced the budget. More significantly, he adopted Republican goals and rhetoric about the dangers of a budget deficit. Once Bush came along, he brought borrow and spend to a whole new level. Democrats continue to call for a return to fiscal sanity though Republicans have long since abandoned that issue altogether.

I think, to a certain extent, Democrats have let Republicans define them on this issue instead of trying to define themselves. I read, time and again, left wing posters defending tax increases and decrying tax cuts without ever stopping to consider where the money is going.

Republicans hate taxes because they think all their tax money is going to lazy crack addicted mothers in the projects so they can buy their diamonds and Cadillacs. Of course that's not where their tax dollars go. Most federal and state tax money goes to support prisons, police, the military, quasi-military institutions like the NSA and State Department, and interest on the national debt. Do Democrats really favor all these institutions so much that we just luvvv paying our taxes?

To accomplish what Petey calls for, Democrats have to get smarter about, basically, promising people free stuff. Forget about raising taxes. Promise people free healthcare, free college tuition, and so on. Don't even talk about how you're going to pay for it (since no one even asks Guiliani how he's going to pay for more wars!). It's time for Democrats to stop always being the sensible ones. If we're going to cut anything, let's cut the damn Defense Department. (Question: If Social Security is going to be bankrupt in 2048, in what year will the Defense Department be bankrupt?) I know that particular shift in the argument is going to take a while to come, but Petey is right. It's time for someone out there to start laying the groundwork.

(A little rambling. Sorry. :) )

The Bush tax cuts remind me of a Wendy's french fry commercial. A 7-year-old black girl is counting out fries. She says "1 for me and 1 for you" and gives herself 1, her 3-year-old brother 1. Then she says "1 for me, 1 for you" and gives herself 2 fries, her brother 1. "1 for me, 1 for you" she get 3, her brother 1.

The little boy knows he is being cheated, but can't figure out why. The lies are so audacious and bold that he thinks that only a person telling the truth could lie so boldly and obviously. So he allows it.

The Bush tax cuts were Goebbels all over again.


Comments closed August 28, 2007.

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