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Everything is Bad (or at least "Risky") for Democrats

06 Nov 2007 08:48 am

As you may have heard, the prospect of catastrophic climate change is something that's been the subject of increasing concern over the past 10-15 years. Emerging from the fringes of public consciousness, the notion that carbon emissions resulting from the burning of fossil fuel are playing a major role in causing temperatures to increase worldwide and that the continuation of this trend could have dire results for human and animal life around the planet has become a very mainstream notion recently. Indeed, forging a global compact to address this issue has become one of the very highest priorities of most of America's key allies in the rich world along with an extremely pressing concern for many developing nations. Indeed, UN Secretary General Ban Ki-Moon has decided to make climate change and the need to combat it the key issue of his tenure in office. On top of these urgent statements from allies and potential allies that the United States needs to get involved, our failure to take action to address this problem has become such an embarrassment that Osama bin Laden is making propaganda hay out of it.

Meanwhile, former Vice President Al Gore has recently won both an Oscar and a Nobel Peace Prize for his efforts to draw attention to the problem. These efforts, meanwhile, seem to be succeeding in ways that are reflected in the polls but also on the ground, as more and more companies seek environment-friendly branding and public relations, NBC Universal stages a "green" week, so on and so forth.

The leading candidates for the Democratic Party's presidential nomination have all responded to this public, diplomatic, and elite concern with fairly similar policies grounded in the scientific consensus that sharp reduction in US carbon emissions are necessary, and in the economics consensus that the most efficient way to achieve those reductions is by putting a price on carbon emissions -- either in the form of a tax, or in the form of an auction of tradeable emissions permits. The Republican Party, meanwhile, remains mired in half-measures that don't address the full of extent of the problem and don't even accomplish what they do accomplish in an efficient manner. And those are the good Republicans! Others, like the President of the United States of America and several of the leading contenders to replace him remain mired in denial about the extent or nature of the problem, and are so in hock to special interests in the coal and oil industries that they're unable to acknowledge that failing to adopt mandatory emission curbs will have some dramatic deleterious consequences.

The Washington Post's headline writers, under the time honored principled Everything is Bad News for Democrats, naturally decides to sum that situation up as "Climate is Risky Issue for Democrats". The article itself, I might add, is much better, with reporter Juliet Eilprin downplaying the horse race angle in favor of saying something about the policies at hand, quoting pollster Stan Greenberg's observation that "It's a huge issue. I've been stunned by this" before turning to the Dems-are-doomed theory, and quoting Newt Gingrich's view that "a candidate who's anti-environment and denies global warming gets killed in the suburbs."

Photo by Flickr user Chisvick used under a Creative Commons license

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Comments (21)

Matt - GE would rather have one of their NBC units host some trendy "green week" than bother cleaning up the Hudson river or other areas they poluted.

The world needs to stop coming up with ways to "stop climate change" and start coming up with a plan of what to do once it happens. This train has left the station.

Not to mention peak oil

Further - Republicans will co-opt climate change in 5-7 years.
In two years China will overtake the US in emissions and there will be no turning back - Every year thereafter China's lead will increase - So after a few years of face saving and figuring out how to seperate Gore from their image, they will re-frame climate change into a hawkish anti China thing.
Trust us - in seven years Rush will be complaining about Chinese greenhouse gases and he will say Gore purposely understated the problem because he is too pro China.

They already know how to deal with Gore. Just point out that he's gained weight. How can someone so against pollution eat so much? He must be a walking methane machine.

Newt slipped a while back - made a gaffe and conceded that for Republicans, Gore is a stumbling block - Essentially Newt, without really saying it, was saying that infantile elements within the party are incapable of being 'serious' if they think it means supporting something Gore promoted.
This is why the rise of China will be used to de-Gore the issue and re-frame it as a hawkish thing. Newt was a denier nearly a year ago - now he is no longer a denier and he and others are trying to reframe. The gop masses could change their mind if some respected leaders tell them it's no longer a conservative thing to be against the environment.
Think - now you have the absurdity of Cheney lying and pretending he was pro Mandela and you have Bush quoting MLK all the time. MLK was hated by all the people supporting Bush. But times change - In ten years, expect to see lots of GOP talk about 'Chinese Warming'

I'm sure the next WaPo headline will be Running Against Republicans Is Risky For Democrats.

The gop masses could change their mind if some respected leaders tell them it's no longer a conservative thing to be against the environment

Not with the oil-and-gas industry as a choke-chain around their neck, they can't. Nor with their mindless anti-regulatory position. They're deeply psychologically invested in the latter: any change will be halting, divisive, and fragmentary.

That's why Democrats should be able to pound them on it: if they relentlessly press Republican weakness on this.

The world needs to stop coming up with ways to "stop climate change" and start coming up with a plan of what to do once it happens. This train has left the station.

Stupid. Some change is inevitable, but the extent of the change is almost certainly up for grabs and subject to human influence, as was the beginning of the change.

Less would be good, huh?

The world needs to stop coming up with ways to "stop climate change" and start coming up with a plan of what to do once it happens. This train has left the station.

Stupid. Some change is inevitable, but the extent of the change is almost certainly up for grabs and subject to human influence, as was the beginning of the change.

Less would be good, huh?

Back to horse race stuff. With the release of Hillary's energy plan, the so-called green gap between Democratic and Republican candidates has shot past stark all the way to awkward. And although polls routinely show that the environment isn't a strongly motivating factor for voters, climate change feels a bit different to me. Climate change isn't just and environmental issue. It's ag policy and energy and the economy and even national security.

So how does the Republican nominee bridge the green gap in the general election? It really seems to me that there's more danger here for the Republicans than is typically acknowledged.

Boy, did you hammer this -- and MattF beat me to my comment, which I had just mailed in to Greg Sargent over at the Horse's Mouth. How could you READ that article and put a headline like that on it?

Frankly, I won't mind if Republicans co-opt this issue, as long as something gets done. Britains conservatives are fighting with Labor over who has the best climate policy. How refreshing.

The fringes of public conciousness? are you kidding me? I learned about this in ELEMENTRY SCHOOL. It's not exactly been a persecuted doctrine.

The headline says it's risky, not bad. Could work out well, could be bad -- it's risky. Being a philosophy major from a good school, surely you understand the difference.

Are you saying it's not risky?

An off-topic minor quibble, but Al Gore actually didn't win an Oscar. Davis Guggenheim (the Director) did and Al Gore just participated in the acceptance speech during the ceremony.

Matt - GE would rather have one of their NBC units host some trendy "green week" than bother cleaning up the Hudson river or other areas they poluted.


Posted by Comment | November 6, 2007 9:03 AM

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But interesting that GE is the leading US manufacturer of wind turbines. And a leader in IGCC "clean coal" technology and carbon sequestration

"They already know how to deal with Gore. Just point out that he's gained weight."

Ah, but that's carbon sequestration. At least that's my excuse.

"But interesting that GE is the leading US manufacturer of wind turbines. And a leader in IGCC "clean coal" technology and carbon sequestration"

One of the bigger short-term impacts on carbon consumption is how hot GE can get their power turbines to run. The hotter, the more efficient and the lower the CO2 emitted per kW-hr of electricity.

Regardless of the merits of the policies, if the politics are so damn compelling, why not, you know, try to pass the tax now? Dingell's got a bill, doesn't he? HRC and Obama could sponsor it in the Senate.

Everyone's in favor of doing something, just not something that costs.

"catastrophic"!
"dire results for human and animal life"!
"dramatic deleterious consequences"!

Honestly, you really shouldn't talk about science when you can't even ride a bike and don't know if your pipes will freeze in weather below 32 degrees. You really should educate yourself on this important issue beyond reading Grist. Maybe then you would refrain from making hackneyed statements like causing temperatures to increase worldwide when you actually mean to say causing the average worldwide temperature to increase

I think politicians would do better to avoid this sort of fear mongering and seek a more common ground. It's not as if there is a suite of ideas on how to combat climate change, it's very simple and there's only one idea; reduce carbon emissions. To that end we should simply argue that carbon emissions are pollution and advance policies that encourage alternative energy use, either with carbon taxes or permits. It's counterproductive to get hysterical about it.

WE ARE ALL GOING TO DIE!!!!!!!!!!

"Meanwhile, former Vice President Al Gore has recently won both an Oscar"

It's not important, but you know better than this, Matt. An Inconvenient Truth won the Oscar for Best Documentary, Features, which went to Davis Guggenheim.

No reflection on Al Gore, but the subject of a documentary isn't the winner or nominee or filmmaker, and Davis Guggenheim deserves not to be forgotten for winning his Oscar.

Campesino - does GE manufacture their wind turbines in the US?
How does that clean up the mess they made in the Hudson?


Comments closed November 20, 2007.

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