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The Return of Geoengineering

11 Nov 2007 12:53 pm

Eli Klintisch reports that some scientists who'd previously adhered to the anti-geoengineering consensus are now giving it a second thought as they grow increasingly pessimistic that countries will reduce carbon emissions enough to stave off catastrophe. Unfortunately, this superficially promising path remains full of pitfalls. Brad Plumer, for example, raises an issue I'd never thought of:

Cloud-seeding in the United States has led to all sorts of lawsuits from farmers complaining about stolen rain. Chinese cities experimenting with this stuff have been warring over "cloud theft." The U.S. Air Force has drafted a report, "Weather as a Force Multiplier," discussing ways to use weather-modification as a weapon. If someone does come up with a way to cool the earth—say, giant space mirrors—there would be all sorts of tricky debates about who decides how it's used. It's hard to imagine that the international talks over that would be any less difficult than reaching an agreement on reducing carbon emissions.

Right. You can't actually get around the need for a hard-to-achieve level of international coordination. The Air Force isn't wrong to think that weather control could be a weapon, after all.

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Comments (14)

They may not be wrong, but they're plenty fucking creepy.

Why is weather control any creepier than economic control?

Geoengineering can not affect the acidification of the oceans. This is happining because the oceans are absorbing CO2. Are we willing to lose the oceans and all the life in them because we don't want to switch from fossil fuel?

Nitwits.

Put the trillion dollars spent on wars to seize oil into nanotech development.

All problems solved in two to five decades or so.

Morons.

"Geoengineering can not affect the acidification of the oceans."

Iron fertilization of regions of the ocean where little photosynthesis takes place because there's no iron to make chlorophyll with, is a form of geoengineering which would most assuredly effect acidification of the oceans.

"If someone does come up with a way to cool the earth—say, giant space mirrors—there would be all sorts of tricky debates about who decides how it's used."

Certainly would be... Among people who had no input into the matter because they weren't the ones who put up the mirrors.

>You can't actually get around the need for a hard-to-achieve level of international coordination.

If that's true than we are all doomed. Our institutions are simply not up to the challenge.

There's a treaty against using weather modification in warfare. Somebody ought to remind the USAF of that.

I am not exactly eager to geo-engineer, but it may be the only option if it turns out that not only is it impossible to reduce emissions fast enough to avoid catastrophe, but the greenhouse gases we've already emitted are enough to send the climate into a positive-feedback catastrophe. It definitely makes sense at least to develop technologies and study the risks.

Does carbon capture count as a geomodification technique? It seems like it would be the safest one. I know you can buy carbon offset credits for forests in New Zealand, but is that remotely plausible on the scale it would require to make a real impact?

There's a treaty against using weather modification in warfare. Somebody ought to remind the USAF of that.

Bloody shame. Operation POPEYE from the Vietnam War sounds pretty inventive to me, to say nothing of what the USAF cloud-seeding planes had painted on their fuselages: "Make Mud Not War".

Dude, Dr. Gray controlled the weather 25 years ago! The tragic result was the disappearance of Laura and its corollary, "Think of Laura" by Christopher Cross.

I've said it before and I'll say it again: obviously, people need to watch more soaps.

Dude, the Cassadines tried controlling the weather 25 years ago! The tragic end result was the disappearance of Laura and its corollary, "Think of Laura" by Christopher Cross.

I've said it before and I'll say it again: obviously, people need to watch more soaps.

GAH!!!
Stupid ESC key.

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Comments closed November 25, 2007.

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