Douglas Massey writing in the new Miller-McCune magazine says that if we want people to stop coming here from Mexico then we need to do for Mexico what the EU did for Spain as that country was brought into the European Union -- full economic integration complete with generous payments and other assistance aimed at upgrading the poorer country's institutions.
An alternative immigration model from Europe -- the long Finnish-Russian border where "enforcement first" plus bad weather seems to keep the immigrants out across a sharp economic gradient -- is profiled by Elna Nykänen in Monocle, though you need to subscribe to read the article. Long story short, Finland invests a lot in its border patrol (they don't, after all, have global power projection ambitions), Finland's high level of homogeny makes Russian illegal immigrants stand out in tiny border towns, and if you try to cross the border too far from an official border crossing you find yourself truly in the middle of nowhere with no roads and many wolves.


I've long thought we need something like what Massey advocates -- what I've thought of as a "Marshall Plan for Mexico."
If you think of "economic opportunity in the United States" as a good, a commodity that people want, it's no surprise that we've been largely ineffectual in stopping illegal immigration. All our various enforcement efforts are doing is raising the cost of that highly inelastic good. And as any economist can tell you, raising the price of an inelastic good does relatively little to affect the quantity demanded.
What is needed is an economic substitute. If Mexicans can substitute away from "economic opportunity in the United States" and toward "economic opportunity in Mexico," we'll see the number of illegal immigrants plummet. Because who wants to go look for a job thousands of miles from home in a foreign land where you're a scapegoat who doesn't speak the language if there's a job right at home?
Posted by Jason F | April 14, 2008 10:39 AM